Ethereum indicators

Automated Ethereum quant signals for ETH/USDT

Ethereum moves faster and correlates tightly with risk-on flows. RisksVisionML scores ETH/USDT bar closes with the same risk framework — probabilities, planned exits, and breakeven guardrails on every trade.

Asset primer

Understanding Ethereum as a systematic trading asset

Ethereum is the second-largest crypto market and the backbone of on-chain finance. ETH/USDT combines utility-driven demand with speculative beta — often amplifying Bitcoin moves while adding its own narrative volatility.

How Ethereum works

ETH is both a network token and a risk asset. Staking yields, L2 adoption, DeFi activity, and developer usage influence medium-term flows, while short-term price still tracks broader crypto liquidity. Signals evaluate ETH/USDT bar closes within that dual nature.

Why ETH is valuable for quant signals

High trading volume and a rich multi-year history make Ethereum a strong second leg for diversified systematic exposure. When BTC correlation is stable, ETH can extend opportunity; when it decouples, separate symbol tracking keeps performance honest.

Risks to respect

Faster intraday reversals, sharper drawdowns in risk-off weeks, and narrative spikes around upgrades or regulation can punish discretionary entries. Systematic sizing and breakeven rules matter more here — never assume ETH will simply follow Bitcoin.

How the ML engine handles Ethereum volatility

Ethereum moves differently from other crypto assets. The model stays systematic — bar-close probabilities, fixed risk, and breakeven guardrails on every cycle.

Higher beta, faster reversals

ETH often amplifies BTC moves and snaps back quicker. Bar-close evaluation avoids reacting to every wick; signals need probability confirmation before execution.

Risk-on correlation

DeFi, L2, and macro narratives push ETH through sharper intraday ranges. Fixed R-multiple sizing keeps loss per trade bounded regardless of narrative volatility.

Regime shifts

When correlation to Bitcoin breaks down, ETH can trend independently. The model retrains on logged ETH/USDT outcomes — separate symbol performance is tracked in the public record.

Systematic ETH signal engine

ETH/USDT probability engine

Long and short scores are computed on each ETH decision bar with the same threshold logic used across the platform.

Breakeven at 1:0.5

Once price reaches half the planned reward, stops move to breakeven — limiting damage when ETH reverses after a partial move.

Premium plan live stream

Live Ethereum indicators ship on the Premium tier alongside BTC coverage and advanced signal analytics.

Public ETH/USDT track record

Figures below are not a performance guarantee. They reflect historical outcomes from the indicator log (2398 days · jan 3, 2020 → jul 27, 2026).

Non-loss rate

55.1%

Share of closed trades that did not hit the full stop loss — take-profit wins and breakeven exits included. Timeouts are scored by exit PnL.

55.1% non-loss

44.9% stopped out

TP 899 (55%)BE 0 (0%)SL 734 (45%)258 timeouts scored by exit PnL

Profit factor

+1.33R

Total winning R divided by total losing R

Trades / day

0.68

1633 trades across 2398 days

Avg hold

27.4h

Average time until the trade closed

Total R

+513.60R

2398 days · Jan 3, 2020 → Jul 27, 2026

Equity curve

How cumulative R grew trade by trade on ETH/USDT

Drawdown

Worst peak-to-trough decline on ETH/USDT

Max drawdown

8.24%

Recent ETH trades

Last 48 closed ETH/USDT trades (newest first).

Long

Jul 27, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.09R

Long

Jul 27, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.14R

Long

Jul 27, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.12R

Long

Jul 27, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.14R

Long

Jul 27, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.14R

Long

Jul 27, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.15R

Short

Jul 27, 2026

Timed out
Result+1.00R

Long

Jul 26, 2026

Take profit
Result+0.89R

Short

Jul 20, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.17R

Long

Jul 16, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.17R

Long

Jul 16, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.19R

Long

Jul 16, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.20R

Long

Jul 14, 2026

Take profit
Result+0.93R

Long

Jul 13, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.25R

Long

Jul 13, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.29R

Long

Jul 13, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.28R

Short

Jul 13, 2026

Take profit
Result+1.87R

Long

Jul 6, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.39R

Long

Jul 6, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.34R

Long

Jul 6, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.47R

Long

Jul 2, 2026

Take profit
Result+0.95R

Long

Jul 2, 2026

Take profit
Result+1.56R

Long

Jul 2, 2026

Timed out
Result+1.12R

Long

Jul 1, 2026

Take profit
Result+1.83R

Long

Jun 29, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.37R

Short

Jun 25, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.03R

Short

Jun 24, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.04R

Short

Jun 24, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.10R

Short

Jun 24, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.04R

Short

Jun 24, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.35R

Short

Jun 23, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.07R

Short

Jun 23, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.05R

Short

Jun 18, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.04R

Long

Jun 15, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.07R

Long

Jun 15, 2026

Take profit
Result+0.93R

Short

Jun 7, 2026

Timed out
Result+0.21R

Short

Jun 7, 2026

Take profit
Result+1.22R

Short

Jun 7, 2026

Take profit
Result+1.33R

Short

Jun 5, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.05R

Short

Jun 5, 2026

Timed out
Result-0.65R

Short

Jun 5, 2026

Timed out
Result-0.63R

Short

Jun 5, 2026

Take profit
Result+1.57R

Short

Jun 4, 2026

Take profit
Result+1.69R

Short

Jun 4, 2026

Take profit
Result+1.69R

Short

Jun 3, 2026

Take profit
Result+1.69R

Short

Jun 3, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.22R

Short

Jun 3, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.12R

Short

Jun 3, 2026

Stop loss
Result-1.04R

Premium plan

Unlock live Ethereum indicators

Premium plan subscribers get real-time ETH/USDT signals at bar close — plus BTC, advanced analytics, and priority delivery channels.